Prepare for a wet Christmas and Noche Buena. Landslides, flash floods likely in hills – Moderate to heavy rains forecasted.

Noche buena may bring rains.

PICS Courtesy: Wikipedia and CNN Ph

PICS Courtesy: Wikipedia and CNN Ph

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The Noche Buena that falls this weekend but will most likely be a very wet one for the Filipinos. The festival that falls on 24th December will see a tropical storm developing and making a landfall. It is now only a low pressure area (LPA).

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) informed this. It lay centered on Wednesday morning about 1800 Km east of Mindanao.

Consequently, a wet Christmas may dampen the spirits. Nina thus becomes the 14th tropical cyclone this year.

Landfall will take place in the Samar and Bicol region after intensifying into a tropical storm. Under its effect widespread rainfall may occur from the Eastern Visayas to the Quezon province.

Specifically, moderate rains may occur over large areas if it makes landfall which is a big possibility said Chris Perez, weather Forecaster.

Under its influence, there will be moderate to heavy rainfall. There is a distinct possibility of landslides, flash floods and land slippages in many places particularly the hilly regions.

Furthermore, this is not a regular year-end feature as indicated by the Administrator of the PAGASA Vincente Malano. The last 10 day period of the year starting with Dec 21 experienced seven wet year-endings due to tropical storms. Thus, seven tropical storms in 57 years is not high.
But what is high is the number that made landfall; 6 out of the 7 did. The year-end storms generally strike the Visayas, the Central Philippines and hits the southern part of Luzon too.

In other words, the severe tropical storm may not cause much damage. But, let us not forget the Tropical Storm Seniang that caused about 70 deaths.
It is necessary to keep a close watch and avoid getting caught unawares. Metro Manila may experience the effect of rains.

The tropical storm will leave the Philippines on the evening of Monday 26th December or the next morning.

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Umrao singh
Thursday, December 22, 2016

Written for: Lars-Magnus Carlsson